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Centre on Constitutional Change

Election 2024 analysis: The future for Labour in Wales

After winning an historic landslide at the general election, the Labour Party is in a buoyant mood. However, while Labour was successful in terms of the number of seats won in Wales, digging deeper into the results suggests that the story might not be as rosy for the party.
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Centre on Constitutional Change

How Scotland Voted in the 2024 UK General Election

Following Labour's overwhelming victory in the UK, few anticipated the extent of their success in Scotland. Mark McGeoghegan explores the factors that contributed to redrawing the Scottish electoral map.
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Centre on Constitutional Change

Election 2024 analysis: The UK Union may appear restrengthened — but is it really?

United in their desire to remove Tories from office (apparently using whichever political vehicle necessary), are the people of the UK singing from the same hymn sheet once again?
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Centre on Constitutional Change

Taking stock of the 2024 GLA election: The more things change, the more they stay the same

On the 2nd of May 2024, alongside other regional elections across England and Wales, voters went to the polls to elect the Greater London Authority (GLA) for the seventh time since its creation in 1999 by Tony Blair’s government.

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Centre on Constitutional Change

Cutting through the noise: what do the polls tell us about the election in Scotland?

In this piece, Mark McGeoghegan analyses the diverse data and types of polls available to cut through the noise and identify the underlying trends in Scottish polling without overstating the certainty of the predictions we can make.

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