Blog posts by Mark McGeoghegan

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Centre on Constitutional Change

Is Scottish independence inevitable? The relationship between birth cohort and secessionism in Scotland

At the heart of the debate over the relationship between age and support for Scotland seceding from the United Kingdom is a key question: do Scots become less likely to support secession as they age, or is the relationship due to differences between birth cohorts that persist over time?
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Centre on Constitutional Change

How Scotland Voted in the 2024 UK General Election

Following Labour's overwhelming victory in the UK, few anticipated the extent of their success in Scotland. Mark McGeoghegan explores the factors that contributed to redrawing the Scottish electoral map.
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Centre on Constitutional Change

Cutting through the noise: what do the polls tell us about the election in Scotland?

In this piece, Mark McGeoghegan analyses the diverse data and types of polls available to cut through the noise and identify the underlying trends in Scottish polling without overstating the certainty of the predictions we can make.

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