The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time.
The latest Poll of Polls is based on three polls by YouGov, one by Survation, one by TNS BMRB and one by Panelbase, The polls were conducted between 28 August and 11 September. The most recent poll included in the series was conducted by YouGov for The Times and The Sun and was published on 12 September.
John Curtice discusses the most recent polls and how in the final week of the campaign we may secure a clearer and more consistent picture of just where the referendum race stands.
The last ten days have transformed perceptions of the referendum race. Although they persistently and consistently disagreed about the size of its lead, every independently commissioned poll had hitherto put No ahead. Few expected anything other than a majority vote to stay in the Union.
Over the past few months a number of world leaders have felt compelled to comment on the independence debate in Scotland and the UK. The Australian and Canadian prime ministers, Tony Abbott and Stephen Harper (both countries themselves have large Scottish populations), the Chinese premiere Li Keqiang, the Indian foreign minister Sushma Swaraj, the former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt and the US President Barack Obama to name a few. So what might be prompting such interventions?
Mark Shephard, University of Strathclyde suggests that Federalism could save the Union, but then again, so might independence… This post originally appeared on the British Politics Group Blog
Regular readers of this website will have noticed the development of our Guide to the Debate – short, accessible presentations of what the Yes and No sides say about some of the key issues at stake in the referendum, along with our comments designed put the claims of both sides ‘In Perspective’.