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The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time.

The latest Poll of Polls is based on three polls by YouGov, one  by Survation, one by TNS BMRB  and one by Panelbase,  The polls were conducted between 28 August and  11 September. The most recent poll included in the series was conducted by YouGov for The Times and The Sun and was published on 12 September.

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John Curtice discusses the most recent polls and how in the final week of the campaign we may secure a clearer and more consistent picture of just where the referendum race stands.

The last ten days have transformed perceptions of the referendum race. Although they persistently and consistently disagreed about the size of its lead, every independently commissioned poll had hitherto put No ahead. Few expected anything other than a majority vote to stay in the Union.

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Over the past few months a number of world leaders have felt compelled to comment on the independence debate in Scotland and the UK. The Australian and Canadian prime ministers, Tony Abbott and Stephen Harper (both countries themselves have large Scottish populations), the Chinese premiere Li Keqiang, the Indian foreign minister Sushma Swaraj, the former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt and the US President Barack Obama to name a few. So what might be prompting such interventions?

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Regular readers of this website will have noticed the development of our Guide to the Debate – short, accessible presentations of what the Yes and No sides say about some of the key issues at stake in the referendum, along with our comments designed put the claims of both sides ‘In Perspective’.

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Latest blogs

  • 16th October 2018

    Bavaria’s long-dominant party, the conservative Christian Social Union (CSU), has reached its worst election result in 60 years. As well as causing a headache for Angela Merkel, argues Patrick Utz, this political earthquake reveals Bavaria’s predicament between regionalism and populism,.

  • 15th October 2018

    As the buildup to the EU Council meeting reaches fever pitch, Richard Parry explains that deals at dawn may work in Brussels but they don't always play to the home crowd.

  • 13th October 2018

    Theresa May’s efforts to keep her DUP allies onside may, suggests Prof Nicola McEwen, end up easing Nicola Sturgeon’s path to independence following any subsequent referendum on the subject.

  • 12th October 2018

    The Commission on Justice in Wales, chaired by Lord Thomas of Cwmgiedd, will further clarify the legal and political identity of Wales within the UK constitution. Doing so, explains Prof Dan Wincott, will also bring clarity to the enduring significance of other territorial legal jurisdictions.

  • 11th October 2018

    The Brexit and Environment network has spent the last year researching the implications of Brexit for environmental policy, with a particular focus on the devolved nations, which are all too often overlooked in these debates. They have developed three reports that detail their findings from meetings with stakeholders in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, and they bring together insights from these in an overarching UK report. In this blog post, they summarise their key findings and recommendations.

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