This one-day event aims to explain the outcome of the 2016 Scottish and Welsh elections drawing on the most up-to-date research from leading scholars in the field. There will be three presentations plus a panel discussions with leading figures from the main parties offering reflections on the result.
The cost to is £50.00. The fee includes all refreshments and a buffet lunch.
To book your place please contact Lindsay Adams at the Academy of Government
T: 0131 650 3315
Structure of the day
Welcome and Introductions
Tax, the constitution and past performance:what influenced voters in the 2016 Scottish Parliament election?
ProfessorsAilsa Henderson and James Mitchell (University of Edinburgh)
Using data collected during the Scottish Parliament campaign, this presentation offers insights into the factors that influenced vote decisions in the 2016 Scottish election.Parties sought to distinguish themselves on tax and on their various records in office –whether at Holyrood or Westminster –but less clear is whether voters pay equal attention to such issues and what role, if any, the 2014 independence referendum continues to play in structuring vote choice in Scotland.
May 2016 in context
Dr Jan Eichhorn (University of Edinburgh)
Dr Eichhorn will present findings from a study of the general election 2015 in Scotland to highlight shifts in political attitudes and party identification that will help understand longer term changes. Without understanding these contextual influences short-term evaluations would be insufficient in comprehensively explaining what the political landscape in Scotland looks like after this vote.
Using Twitter feeds to detect campaign dynamics during the 2016 Scottish Parliament ElectionDr Heinz Brandenburg (Strathclyde University)
With polling likely to be much rarer in the run-up to the Scottish Parliament Election 2016 than in UK elections, detecting campaign dynamics in the long and short campaign may require alternative tools and methods. We are using twitter feeds (collected continuously during Feb-May 2016), selecting on a range of relevant hashtags, to trace public mood changes during the Scottish Election campaign.
Explaining the results in Wales
Professor Roger Scully (University of Cardiff)
Panel Discussion from the various political parties