Our team has produced a series of Brexit Reflections on key issues for policymakers, pollsters, and the regions and nations of the United Kingdom.
Key contributions have been summarised in a series of #BrexitReflections graphics.
Understanding the vote
- The markets are grieving now - but acceptance will come. In time. Financial markets are in turmoil after the Brexit vote. But Dr Arman Eshraghi says behavioural finance tells us they will recover - albeit to a new normal.
- Ruthless truth-telling: Can the UK thrive outside the EU? George Osborne's decision, within days of the UK's Brexit vote, to cut Corporation Tax signals a shift to a low tax, low spend economy. Such a move, says Brad MacKay, may well hit hardest those who voted Leave to send a message to the establishment and big business.
- Access to world trade Kristen Hopewell and Matias E. Margulis discuss how post Brexit vote the UK will negotiate terms of trading with the rest of the world.
- The Implications for energy policy Brexit poses challenges in many areas of the UK's social, economic and environmental policy; energy not least among them, say Drs Ronan Bolton, Antti Silvast and Mark Winskel.
- Women of the Moment Susan Elaine Murphy discusses the role of women in post-referendum Britain
- Brexit: What Happens Next? Following the victory for Leave in the EU referendum, Prof Stephen Tierney sets out the next steps in the constitutional process.
- Where next for a divided kingdom? In this piece, originally published in the Irish Times, Michael Keating explores the deep and irreconcilable tendencies within the Leave campaign: Europeans, Little Englanders, and Globalists.
- Time to dissolve the people and elect another? In an article in the Irish Times, Professor Laura Cram reflects on how the referendum has created new divisions and amplified old ones.
- Who is the captain of the ship now? Malcolm Harvey discusses issues around a referendum that was supposed to resolve the UK’s position in Europe but appears to have muddied it further.
- Women in Charge: How Close Is a Female-Led Parliament? Meryl Kenny suggests that women in the top jobs would send a powerful message about who is fit to lead—and not just in times of crisis.
- Europe’s West Lothian Question As the politicians try to make sense of the referendum result, they are struggling to define what ‘leave’ actually means. Michael Keating explores the possibility of a West Brussels question.
- Out means out There is great uncertainty about what lies ahead for the UK’s relationship with the European Union but one thing is clear. Out means out, says Michael Keating.
- One answer, many questions? Last Thursday’s referendum may have answered one question, but it has spawned many more. Nicola McEwen tackles these.
- Farage’s Resignation and the Future Prospects of UKIP: Nigel Farage's resignation appears to be permanent this time but, says Dr Dion Curry, he still casts a long shadow over UKIP's future.
Implications for Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland
- Trident, Brexit and Scotland’s Coercion The renewal of Trident looks set to be a major test of the new government and, says William Walker, it's a decision likely to have complex and long-running implications.
- Are Scots European? Judging by the referendum result, it may seem obvious that Scots are more European than their neighbours to the south but, says David McCrone, the binary choice in a referendum masks a more complex picture
- How can Scotland remain in the EU? In this extended blog, Prof Michael Keating considers Scotland's options for remaining in the EU - economically, politically or both.
- “We won’t let you down!” Scotland’s approach to EU nationals: Eve Hepburn explores the SNP government's approach to EU nationals in the aftermath of the vote for Brexit.
- Fiscal implications for the Scottish Government: David Eiser discusses what the Brexit vote means for the Scottish Government’s budget in the short and long term.
- Options for Scotland Nicola Sturgeon vowed to explore all options to keep Scotland in the EU. Eve Hepburn asks, what might these options be and how likely are they to be successful?
- A European Future for Scotland? Tobias Lock discusses a number of options for Scotland’s European future.
- What does Brexit mean for those campaigning for Scottish independence? The question of Scottish independence has taken centre stage in the public debate since the Brexit vote. England and Wales have voted to leave the EU, but Scotland and Northern Ireland have voted to remain. But what does it all mean for those campaigning for Scottish independence? Craig McAngus explains.
- Brexit and the inevitability of Scottish Independence Paul Cairney assesses risks and opportunities for those pursuing #indyref2
- The wider context of the Scottish debate Richard Parry discusses how the vote has important lessons for politics and even betting, but its resolution for Scotland will get caught up in wider issues.
- Scottish independence back in play after Brexit shock – with a note of caution The clear difference between Scotland's Remain vote and the preference south of the border has rekindled the independence debate but, says Craig McAngus, all is not entirely straightforward for the SNP.
- Brexit in Wales: Highlighting the Failures of Welsh Devolution? Gareth Evans looks at why Wales bucked the trend of the devolved regions in the United Kingdom and voted in favour of Brexit.
- Why did Wales shoot itself in the foot in this referendum? Richard Wyn Jones on the reasons contributing to a leave vote in a part of the UK that benefits most from EU membership.
- England’s Opportunity is (Northern) Ireland’s Difficulty The impact of Brexit on Northern Ireland was dismissed by many Leave campaigners elsewhere in the UK as improbable. However, explains Prof Christine Bell, the speed with which Sinn Féin moved to trigger a poll suggests that the party with the most to gain may also have the least to lose by the gamble.