First monthly survey of experts shows significant uncertainty about Brexit.

From UK in a Changing Europe
 
Our first monthly survey shows significant uncertainty about Brexit. However, some key themes emerge:
 
Our panel put the prospect of no deal at around 50%.
 
The UK is highly likely to leave on 29 March 2019
 
A second referendum is seen as highly unlikely.
 
The October EU Council deadline is unlikely to be met.
 
The transition period will need to be extended beyond December 2020.
 
Finally, there were significant splits over the final deal. A plurality of participants feel a Canada style free trade deal is the most likely outcome of the Brexit process, involving a border on the island of Ireland.
 
The full details can be found here: http://ukandeu.ac.uk/brexit-policy-panel/

Comments policy

All comments posted on the site via Disqus are automatically published. Additionally comments are sent to moderators for checking and removal if necessary. We encourage open debate and real time commenting on the website. The Centre on Constitutional Change cannot be held responsible for any content posted by users. Any complaints about comments on the site should be sent to info@centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk

Latest blogs

Read More Posts