John Curtice's blog

Do we all think the same about Europe? In one sense the obvious answer to that question is, ‘No’. After all, as our Poll of Polls shows, support for the two sides in the EU Referendum campaign that is now beginning to get into gear is almost evenly matched. At the moment at least Britain appears to be split down the middle on whether to leave or remain.

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Do we all think the same about Europe? In one sense the obvious answer to that question is, ‘No’. After all, as our Poll of Polls shows, support for the two sides in the EU Referendum campaign that is now beginning to get into gear is almost evenly matched. At the moment at least Britain appears to... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice introduces a new Poll of Polls on What Scotland Thinks Regular users of this site during the referendum will remember that one of its more popular features was a ‘Poll of Polls’ of voting intentions in the referendum. It showed the average share of the vote for Yes and No recorded by th... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice looks at the latest polls on independence, more devolution, further referendums and the party battle. This post originally appeared on What Scotland Thinks. A further tranche of results from YouGov’s poll for The Times was released on Saturday, while additional findings from Ipsos MORI’... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
This blog originally appeared on What Scotland Thinks John Curtice asks how well did the polls do and which was closest to the result? Clearly the most important features of the referendum result are which side won and which lost, and how politicians react and respond to the outcome. But there is al... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice examines the latest polls, in a post originally published on What Scotland Thinks. Three polls of voting intentions were released yesterday evening and appear in today’s papers. One was conducted by ICM for The Scotsman, one by Survation for the Daily Mail while the third was undertaken... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
In a blog originally published at The Conversation, John Curtice rounds up the debate thus far. Just a few short weeks ago, it looked as though it was clear who was going to win the Scottish independence referendum. Although the polls persistently disagreed with each other as to how far it was behin... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice of What Scotland Thinks on new entrants to the polling scene. The excitement generated by the narrowing of the No lead in the polls has unsurprisingly persuaded new media organisations to enter the polling fray. On Friday The Guardian commissioned its first poll of voting intentions in... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
The graph below shows What Scotland Thinks’ latest Poll of Polls and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on three polls by YouGov, one  by Survation, one by TNS BMRB  and one by Panelbase,  The polls were conducted between 28 August and  11 September. The most recent poll... Read more
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John Curtice discusses the most recent polls and how in the final week of the campaign we may secure a clearer and more consistent picture of just where the referendum race stands. The last ten days have transformed perceptions of the referendum race. Although they persistently and consistently disa... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice of What Scotland Thinks responds to the latest polls from YouGov and Panelbase. The original blog was published here. Last Tuesday YouGov, hitherto a company that had painted a pessimistic picture of the Yes side’s prospects of winning on 18th September, generated considerable excitemen... Read more
Post type: Blog entry

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Latest blogs

  • 10th February 2016

    The United Kingdom faces a momentous decision, whether to leave or to remain in the European Union. Voters, who will soon be asked to settle the matter in a referendum, are looking for more information and impartial analysis.

  • 6th February 2016

    In the first of a series of analyses of the Scottish parties’ manifesto proposals from the University of Stirling and Centre on Constitutional Change, David Bell and David Eiser consider the Labour proposals for income tax announced recently.

  • 4th February 2016

    In the recent debate between Nigel Farage and Carwyn Jones, the First Minister's reliance on the risks of an 'Out' vote is unlikely to provide a convincing enough argument to persuade voters of the benefits to Wales of being part of the ‘two Unions’, say Dr Jayne Woolford and Dr Jo Hunt of Cardiff University's School of Law and Politics.

  • 3rd February 2016

    Earlier this week a report by an expert panel, supported by our colleagues at the Wales Governance Centre and the Constitution Unit at UCL, recommended that parliamentarians should vote to reject the Draft Wales Bill. In an extended blog, one of the members of that panel, Alan Trench of Devolution Matters, explains their reasoning.

  • 1st February 2016

    A report by an independent review group consisting of constitutional and legislative experts says that they could not recommend that politicians in Cardiff Bay and Westminster support the Draft Wales Bill in its current form.

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