John Curtice

John Curtice's picture
Job Title: 
Professor of Politics
University of Strathclyde
Phone Number: 
+44 (0)141 548 4223
Email Address: 

This fellowship is focused on public opinion towards Scotland's constitutional future, and will address three key questions:

  • Are people's attitudes towards independence simply a reflection of their sense of national identity, or are they are also shaped by what they think the consequences of independence would be?
  • Will people vote for or against independence simply based on this issue, or will they be influenced by their attitudes towards the UK government or the various political parties?
  • Has introducing devolution inevitably put Scotland on a path towards independence, or can a stable basis be found for governing Scotland within the framework of the United Kingdom?

The fellowship has resulted in the creation of a website,, which provides a comprehensive collection of  data on public attitudes towards Scotland's future together together with blogs and briefings on the subject. This will be followed by a book length study in the new year.

Project Job Role: 
Professor of Politics


View recent blog entries
Member for
5 years 2 months

Posts by this author:

Despite four decades of membership, the UK never fully took the European Union to its heart. June’s Brexit vote revealed a social division that reflected very different views about the costs and benefits of the EU, writes John Curtice. This article appeared originally in the September 2016 edition o... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice discusses the  post-referendum period and how to handle the immediate consequences of the Brexit decision. This post originally appeared on the What UK Thinks: EU website. The high drama of the post-referendum period has given way to the relative quiet of high summer, albeit that Labour... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice looks at the challenge for opinion polls when estimating the likely outcome of #EURef.   Estimating the likely outcome of the referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was always going to be a challenge for the opinion polls. In a general election they have years of experience as to w... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
Do we all think the same about Europe? In one sense the obvious answer to that question is, ‘No’. After all, as our Poll of Polls shows, support for the two sides in the EU Referendum campaign that is now beginning to get into gear is almost evenly matched. At the moment at least Britain appears to... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice introduces a new Poll of Polls on What Scotland Thinks Regular users of this site during the referendum will remember that one of its more popular features was a ‘Poll of Polls’ of voting intentions in the referendum. It showed the average share of the vote for Yes and No recorded by t... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice looks at the latest polls on independence, more devolution, further referendums and the party battle. This post originally appeared on What Scotland Thinks. A further tranche of results from YouGov’s poll for The Times was released on Saturday, while additional findings from Ipsos MORI... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
This blog originally appeared on What Scotland Thinks John Curtice asks how well did the polls do and which was closest to the result? Clearly the most important features of the referendum result are which side won and which lost, and how politicians react and respond to the outcome. But there is al... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice examines the latest polls, in a post originally published on What Scotland Thinks. Three polls of voting intentions were released yesterday evening and appear in today’s papers. One was conducted by ICM for The Scotsman, one by Survation for the Daily Mail while the third was undertaken... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
In a blog originally published at The Conversation, John Curtice rounds up the debate thus far. Just a few short weeks ago, it looked as though it was clear who was going to win the Scottish independence referendum. Although the polls persistently disagreed with each other as to how far it was behin... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
John Curtice of What Scotland Thinks on new entrants to the polling scene. The excitement generated by the narrowing of the No lead in the polls has unsurprisingly persuaded new media organisations to enter the polling fray. On Friday The Guardian commissioned its first poll of voting intentions in... Read more
Post type: Blog entry


Latest blogs

  • 19th October 2018

    Proposed revisions to the Basque Statute of Autonomy have revealed underlying tensions but the fault lines are not where an outside observer might assume they would be. They are fundamental and political and, explains Michael Keating, unlikely to be resolved by technocratic debate.

  • 16th October 2018

    Bavaria’s long-dominant party, the conservative Christian Social Union (CSU), has reached its worst election result in 60 years. As well as causing a headache for Angela Merkel, argues Patrick Utz, this political earthquake reveals Bavaria’s predicament between regionalism and populism,.

  • 15th October 2018

    As the buildup to the EU Council meeting reaches fever pitch, Richard Parry explains that deals at dawn may work in Brussels but they don't always play to the home crowd.

  • 13th October 2018

    Theresa May’s efforts to keep her DUP allies onside may, suggests Prof Nicola McEwen, end up easing Nicola Sturgeon’s path to independence following any subsequent referendum on the subject.

  • 12th October 2018

    The Commission on Justice in Wales, chaired by Lord Thomas of Cwmgiedd, will further clarify the legal and political identity of Wales within the UK constitution. Doing so, explains Prof Dan Wincott, will also bring clarity to the enduring significance of other territorial legal jurisdictions.

Read More Posts