David Bell

David Bell's picture
Professor
David
Bell
Organisation: 
University of Stirling
Phone Number: 
+44 (0)1786 467486
Email Address: 
Biography: 

Beliefs about how the Scottish economy may perform after independence will be critical to the outcome of the 2014 referendum on Scottish independence. Aside from its effect on income, another major concern for voters will be whether an independent Scottish economy will be able or wish to support the level of public services they currently enjoy. Taxpayers will want to know how taxes may change to pay for public services after independence.

This fellowship will produce original research looking at fiscal aspects of the constitutional change debate in the UK. It will encompass both taxes and spending, and will offer insights into questions such as: How would public services be funded in an independent Scotland? Would current levels of services – and the taxation that funds them – be similar, or vary up or down?

Fellowship website: Scottish Fiscal and Economic Studies (ScotFES)

Project Job Role: 
Professor of Economics

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Member for
2 years 10 months

Posts by this author:

New analysis by Prof David Bell, a CCC Fellow based at the University of Stirling, has concluded that those benefits newly devolved under the Scotland Act 2016, “are typically older, more likely to be single following the death of a partner, not in employment and heavily dependent on benefits and pe... Read more
Post type: Publication
While pollsters have the result of the UK's EU referendum as too close to call, the bookies have Remain comfortably ahead. Prof David Bell will be monitoring the odds through the remaining campaign with results updated here. Updated chart - 12 May. Update, April 26 The latest data from the betting o... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
The recent GERS figures for Scotland’s fiscal balance in 2014-15 were entirely predictable. For the first two quarters of that financial year, oil prices averaged around $100 per barrel. Revenues from North Sea oil were flowing strongly. During the next two quarters, the oil price averaged around $5... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
So the fiscal framework has been agreed. Or has the can just been kicked down the road? Both interpretations are consistent with last week’s last-minute agreement between the Scottish and UK governments. There is now no significant obstacle to the passage of the Scotland Bill. As a result the Scotti... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
The negotiations around adjustments to Scotland's block grant have been the subject of months of talks between the Scottish and UK governments. David Bell, David Eiser and David Phillips set out the main points of contention in this extended blog.    Introduction The UK and Scottish Governments have... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
The Scottish government’s block grant allocation between 2015-16 and 2020-21 was set in the 25th November spending review delivered by the Chancellor of the Exchequer. Current spending will increase from £25.9 billion now, to £26.5 billion in 2019-20. This represents a 5% real cut (equivalent to £1.... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
The Scotland Bill, currently making its way through the Houses of Parliament, will transfer a range of tax and spending powers from Westminster to the Scottish Parliament. At the same time, an adjustment will have to be made to Scotland’s block grant funding from Westminster. Alongside things like c... Read more
Post type: Publication
Levels of EU migration to Scotland are lower than in the rest of the UK and, consequently says David Bell, issues relating to it are less likely to affect either side of the Brexit vote. Earlier this month, an article in the Daily Mail claimed that the UK workforce had increased by 430,000 in the l... Read more
Post type: Blog entry
A year on from the independence referendum, David Bell considers what's happened since, particularly in terms of the economy and economic powers. He also considers where Scotland would be now had the vote gone the other way. 
Post type: Publication
The Scotland Bill contains many new powers for the Scottish Government but those relating to welfare have been the focus of particular interest. Much has been said about how they might be changed or improved to develop a distinctively Scottish approach to social security. The legisltion sets out how... Read more
Post type: Publication

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